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Latest in the Real Estate Market
(1 Apr - 30 Apr 2008)

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(D) Foreign Interest in Singapore Real Estate

The study seeks to ascertain whether there are any changes in foreign interest on the Singapore property market. The findings are inconclusive due to very low transactions in the first quarter. However, the percentage seems to suggest that foreign investors are still ‘very keen’ on sharing a slice of Singapore’s success stories. With the various ‘prestige projects’ such as the Integrated Resorts, the F1 event, Youth Olympic, the Singapore real estate scene is not without glamour and glitter to attract a continuous inflow of funds into the global city. However, how much more can the ‘glamour factor’ contribute to serious financial investments such as the real estate remains to be seen.

At the home front, more foreigners here opted to owning instead of renting homes in Singapore, if the statistics for 2007 is anything to go by.

Foreigners bought a record 6,536 non-landed homes from the secondary market in 2007 - the largest number since 1995 and it accounted for more than 50% of the secondary market transactions in 2007. The number includes the 6,000 en bloc sale units.

In terms of percentage, purchases by foreigners on the secondary market increased by 105% in transaction volume compared to 2006.

For new homes, the percentage of foreigners buying non-landed property was lower at 25.4%, or 2,314 transactions out of a total of 9,089. This shows that the foreigners are buying for immediate occupation.

In terms of buyer’s profile, Indonesians remain the top foreign buyers in Singapore, taking up the lion’s share of 23% of the 20,000-old transactions featuring foreign buyers. Malaysians came in a close second with 17% of all foreigners in 2007. The other nationalities ranked in as follows: Indians (12%), British (8%), PRC Chinese (7%) and Koreans (7%).

Below shows a comparative study done on foreign ownership of condominiums and apartment between Q1 2007 and Q1 2008

Table [14] Comparative sales figures between Q1 2007 and Q1 2008 in selected districts

District

Q1 2008 Sale volume

Foreigner

% of foreigner to Total

Q1 2007 Sale volume

Foreigner

% of foreigner to Total

01

51

7

13.72%

406

41

10.09%

02

61

23

37.70%

163

8

5.0%

03

74

18

24.32%

224

39

17.41%

04

68

19

27.94%

147

27

18.36%

05

168

26

15.48%

452

32

7.0%


09

191

55

28.79%

879

222

25.25%

10

212

51

24.05%

1,093

219

20.03%

11

130

31

23.84%

627

101

16.10%


15

370

52

14.05%

1,072

115

10.72%

16

191

21

10.99%

370

49

13.24%


19

160

18

11.25%

325

10

3.0%

20

66

4

6.06%

122

5

4%

21

127

23

18.11%

287

37

12.89%

23

142

15

10.56%

306

13

4.24%

Table [15] Total figure of foreign ownership of condo/apt in Q1 2007 and Q1 2008

 

Sale volume

Foreigner

% of Total

First Quarter 2007

7,937

1,038

13.07%

First Quarter 2008

2,668

450

16.86%


% drop in Total sale volume compared with Q1 2007

% drop in Foreigners’ purchase volume compared with Q1 2007

% increase in foreign ownership compared with Q1 2007

-66.39%

-56.65%

3.79%


Sam Gian’s take:

While the study is inconclusive, in terms of percentage, it shows that for every willing Singaporean buyer, there are more willing foreign buyers.

More foreigners are buying into the Singapore story than the locals. So the question is: ‘are we more discerning or are we missing the woods?’  Only history will tell.

Maybe the local’s ‘bluff of real purchasing power’ is being called by the authorities when it introduced many recent measures to cool the market, such as the decisive withdrawal of deferred payment scheme etc. In fact, the private market is subdued and being shadowed by the fear of liquidity risks* - a fear which I call ‘the direct point of impact’ of the demand-side control.  But, at least some semblance of sanity is back into the market; and the market can poise itself for the next run.

*Explanation of Liquidity Risk is at Annex D




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